Archive for the 'Economic News' Category
Wednesday 22 July 2009 @ 6:00 pm
Investors no longer have to accept great risk to both their principle and returns to achieve exceptional gains. Because the key factor affecting the return on life settlements is time (rather than economic conditions), excellent returns are possible without significant risk to investment capital. Investors can expect to see returns as soon as 60 days of a project completing, a rapid pace for an investment offering such high projected returns. Furthermore, investments in the energy sector are among the safest out there – DDWI (Direct Deeded Working Interest) is a tangible asset that is not prone to the vulnerabilities of the market.
Stock market data, including US and International equity symbols, stock quotes, share prices, earnings ratios, and other fundamental data is provided by data partners. Stock market quotes delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, 20 mins for NYSE and AMEX. Stock market pros know that money have to be invested in companies that are stable and have had a substantial market share for more than 25 years. These companies will never go out of business and will survive many recessions to come.
Prices on existing homes wont fall a great deal. Prices may stay flat for several years but homeowners, unlike the bust of the early 1990s, will be able to sell their properties. Price deflation or hyperinflation are also common elements of a depression. Prices may stay flat for several years but homeowners, unlike during the bust of the early 1990s, will be able to sell their properties.
Gold price is still falling, lowest since late January, so we will grow and we will not falter. Leisure and travel has been hit hard for the last few months. Gold and silver can be purchased and sold at traditional brick-and-mortar collectible establishments, trade shows, or on websites like eBay.com. Scams, underpricing and counterfeiting plague the precious metals market, so be sure to check the reputation of the people with whom you’re doing business.
Bank stocks have been hammered in consequence so why buy? The opportunity stems from the fact that good bank stocks have been dragged down with the bad so this is an opportunity to buy low. Banks and loan companies will carefully examine the document and check your personal credit history to see if they can trust investing money with you. They will also want to see you have the assets to cover a portion of the loan.
Saturday 13 June 2009 @ 1:58 am
About 60 north state construction workers will be busy over the next three months readying a pipeline, pumping plants and a containment pit for tainted sediment from Iron Mountain Mine.
“They are used to working in Sacramento so they are glad to be working close to home,” said Brian Wetzsteon, regional construction manager for Engineering Remediation Resources Group.
The Martinez-based company is one of three subcontractors preparing a dredging and water treatment operation for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency along the Spring Creek Arm of Keswick Lake as part of the Iron Mountain Mine cleanup. Wetzsteon said 12 of the about 20 workers the company will have working on the project are from the Redding area and all are from Northern California.
Planned for next year, the project has been sped up by $20.7 million in federal economic stimulus money announced in April, said Rick Sugarek, EPA’s manager of the Iron Mountain Mine cleanup. He said for each $1 million spent about eight temporary jobs that would pay $40,000 to $50,000 per year will be created.
“That’s the whole idea behind this thing – to create jobs,” Sugarek said.
Wetzsteon and two other subcontractor managers said their companies will be working on the project until September. The jobs will pay between $20 to $40 per hour, plus benefits, the managers said.
Jerry McCasland, project director for Roseville-based Turn-Key Construction, said the work is welcome in what is a slow construction time. He said some workers have been going six to seven months between jobs.
He said the bulk of the company’s workers live in Glenn, Tehama or Shasta counties.
“I’d say 70 percent of the guys are there,” he said.
The main contract is with CH2M Hill, a Colorado-based engineering firm with an office and roots in Redding.
The EPA is still taking in bids for the dredging contract, Sugarek said. That work is set for October and November as well as April and May 2010.
The dredging will clear fine sediment that is heavy with copper and zinc from Keswick Lake, Sugarek said. The sediment poured down the creek from the Iron Mountain Mine, which yielded the two metals – as well as iron, silver, gold and pyrite – from the 1860s until 1963.
The EPA declared the mine a Superfund site, or an uncontrolled source of hazardous waste, in 1983 and the federal cleanup started in 1987. Scientists have said the mine produces some of the world’s worst water.
In all, the dredging will clear 350,000 tons of sediment from the creek, Sugarek said. During the process, he said water in Keswick Lake will become murkier and reddish in color.
Once pulled from the creek by a hydraulic dredge, the sediment will be pumped through 6,000 feet of pipe to a 12-acre “disposal cell,” or containment pit, said John Spitzley, project manager for CH2M Hill. There workers will seal the sediment and it will be buried.
Water passed through the new system will be treated and put back into Spring Creek, he said.
Reporter Dylan Darling can be reached at 225-8266 or ddarling@redding.com.
Thursday 4 June 2009 @ 11:37 pm
THE global recession might be the worst since World War II, but Australia’s will not be, the governor of the Reserve Bank, Glenn Stevens, said yesterday.
A day after official figures showed the economy eked out growth at the start of the year, Mr Stevens said he had been surprised by the resilience of the country’s export trade.
This should help Australia emerge from its current downturn in relative health, even if the recovery did not gather momentum until the end of this year.
“The current global recession is being widely referred to as the most significant of the postwar period,” Mr Stevens said. “There is, by now, little debate about that description.”
But not all economies would suffer the same. “I do not think it will be the biggest recession of the post-war period in Australia either, though of course we will not know for sure for a while yet.”
His remarks were made on a day when evidence emerged that export strength – largely responsible for the 0.4 per cent growth recorded in the March quarter – is starting to wane.
The trade balance collapsed from a surplus of $2.3 billion in March to a deficit of $91 million in April.
“On the surface, this looks like the lucky country is facing up to the rout in global trade that has been evident from the second half of last year,” said David de Garis, a senior economist at global markets research at NAB. But falling prices, particularly for coal and iron ore, were mostly responsible for the drop, and the actual volume of exported goods remained strong, he said.
Exports will also be under pressure because of the strength of the Australian dollar. It collapsed to US60.10 cents amid the financial firestorm last October, but has since risen above US80 cents – unfortunate for exporters whose goods now cost more in world markets.
Mr Stevens’s comments implied that the central bank believes the economy is in recession, even if this week’s national accounts report showed it had avoided two successive quarters of negative growth.
But Australia would not be hit as hard as economies that relied heavily on complex manufacturing exports, such as Germany and Japan. In contrast, Australia stood uniquely placed to sell into a recovering China.
The Chinese economy contracted sharply towards the end of last year, but a number of indicators suggest it is fast recovering ground. For China watchers, the question remains whether state-sponsored infrastructure spending will be able to fill the gap left by the collapse in exports to the US and Europe.
Mr Stevens said he stood ready to keep cutting interest rates.
“Some scope remains to ease monetary policy further, if that were to be helpful to securing a durable upswing,” he told a lunch at James Cook University in Townsville.
He said there was a chance the economy could recover faster than expected, thanks to unprecedented stimulus measures and the pace of rate cuts. Otherwise, the Reserve Bank expects conditions to start improving gradually by the end of the year.
Monday 1 June 2009 @ 4:39 am
Our economy is so dependent on finding new ways to do things that companies are embarrassed when that’s not their strategy. An advertisement for Post Shredded Wheat wryly acknowledges the point, saying that the cereal is the same as it’s been for more than a century, with the tagline, “We put the ‘no’ in ‘innovation.’”
Likewise, at The Wall Street Journal’s All Things Digital annual technology conference last week, the product launch that generated the most buzz was from a mature company trying to play catch-up on a key technology. Microsoft introduced its new search engine, to be called Bing, with a self-deprecatory video that began with the “Star Trek” theme song and the words, “Search: the final frontier. To boldly go where someone had gone before.”
That someone is Google, which so dominates search on the Web that “google” has become a verb meaning “to look for information.” Yet Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer said, “Search has not been a dynamic category in terms of innovation.”
That’s a big challenge to Google and No. 2 search engine Yahoo. After all, search has changed how we gather information and, when it works, find knowledge. It’s been a little more than a decade since people first began to go online to look for information rather than in print directories, encyclopedias and indexes. It’s impossible to overstate how reliant we have become on the Web and its search engines to find information.
Microsoft says Bing, which goes live on Wednesday, will distinguish itself from Google and Yahoo by focusing on delivering answers, not just search results showing potentially relevant links. Microsoft says it’s built a “decision engine, designed to empower people to gain insight and knowledge from the Web, moving more quickly to important decisions.”
The goal is to understand what you’re trying to know and to come up with answers, categorizing results in more useful ways. Bing has a separate approach, for example, to searches for factual research versus, say, searches for the best price for a new camera.
Search has come a long way, but the fact that its history is so brief suggests that it may still have far to go. The earliest review of Google appeared in the Search Engine Report newsletter in August 1998. Expert Danny Sullivan wrote, “Many people will be pleased” with results such as a search for “Bill Clinton” delivering the White House Web site as the first result and for “Disney” delivering Disney.com — results we would now consider obvious. (Mr. Sullivan also asked a young Larry Page whether Google would ever become a commercial site. Answer: “We’re Ph.D. students. We can do whatever we want.”)
One of the most impressive achievements of Google is how well it’s done without much effective competition. About two-thirds of searches in the U.S. are now through Google, one-fifth through Yahoo and less than one in 10 through Microsoft.
Google’s greatest innovation may be how it analyzes data to make its services better. This includes closely monitoring searches to deliver the most relevant advertisements in order to maximize its revenues, which were $21 billion last year. Its dominance of search means it has more data about what’s being searched, found and used than all other engines combined. Its statisticians do endless correlations and modeling. This virtuous circle will be hard for anyone to challenge.
Yet companies are taking up that challenge. Earlier this month another new search engine launched, Wolfram Alpha, which takes a very different approach. It calls itself a “computational knowledge engine,” and it produces astonishingly accurate answers to complex queries by analyzing related databases. Instead of searching the Web, it combines relevant data from many authoritative sources in areas such as science, math and finance, which are selected and monitored by its editors. People may find value in more trustworthy and authoritative sources than results on the unfiltered Web.
Another recent launch, Topsy, searches Twitter and divines real-time trends from the site’s 140-character posts.
Consumers will decide whether Bing, Wolfram Alpha, Topsy or others amount to a better mousetrap. Microsoft gets credit for its goal of helping people “more easily navigate through the information overload that has come to characterize many of today’s search experiences.” As Mr. Ballmer put it, “Most of the world thinks it would be great to have more competition and striving in search.”
It’s hard to imagine a more useful area for innovation in the world of information than improving search. That’s the first place we look for information on the Web, and the Web has become the first and often last place we look for answers. However the race for the best search engine turns out, the Web will be a better place for the competition. By L. GORDON CROVITZ Wall Street Journal
Friday 29 May 2009 @ 9:49 pm
The Federal Government has been pumping billions
of dollars from TARP and The Stimulus Package to banks, insurance
companies and auto companies to bail them out. Meanwhile, heads of
corporations experiencing tough financial times, and who didn’t qualify
for government money are wondering how they can get money to stimulate
their businesses. Ironically, the stimulus money they’re looking for
may be in their own financial ledgers.
“Large corporations can create their own stimulus packages with a
stringent continuous improvement program,” said Alan Davis, President
of I5 SERVICES. “These corporations are missing millions of dollars of
revenue and many may not even realize it.”
This potential revenue lies dormant within a corporation’
s
accounts payable and receivables systems. Fortune 500 companies
understand that no matter how efficient an accounting department is,
there are always cracks that allow money to seep out unnoticed. Sources
of leaks include turnover in personnel, program changes and updates,
and the reality of having a high volume of transactions.
Fortune 500 companies have used recovery audits for many years to
recapture lost revenues. I5 Services has taken the recovery audit and
used it as a tool for continuous improvement. “Not only will we perform
the recovery audit and find a lot of money to be recovered for our
clients, but we will break down the problems and create process
improvements to eliminate the very source of the problems.”
I5 SERVICES has also made its services available to many more
companies. Historically, the recovery audit process has been used by
companies with billions of dollars in annual revenues. I5 Services has
lowered the profile dramatically and hundreds of businesses (in Utah
and beyond) can benefit from this service.
“We are prepared to help all kinds of organizations with revenues
of $100 million or more,” said Davis. “While the recovery of lost
monies is important, our main objective is to improve efficiencies in
the accounting processes.”
i5 SERVICES is improves on the process Davis did to recover
billions of dollars in lost corporate funds during his tenure as an
Accounts Receivable/Payable executive for international auditing firms.
“I didn’t particularly like the old auditing system because it caught
existing problems but didn’t fix them,” said Davis.
“So we’d recover a lot of money for companies, but there wasn’t a
safety net put in place to keep further funds from being lost. We now
aim to correct the problems. Instead of being a continuous collection
firm; we are a continuous correction firm.”
The new proprietary system I5 SERVICES has developed works like a financial sealant for a corporation’s financial engine. The I5 SERVICES system continuously searches out cracks in a corporation’s
financial processes, i.e. invoices sent to multiple departments,
duplicate invoices, overpayments, and missing/noncompliant terms for
payments; and then seals those cracks by proposing improvements to
prevent future losses.
Davis sees broad opportunities corporations can capitalize on from
recovered funds. “Think of how CEO’s and Executive Boards could
stimulate their businesses these extra millions, which are theirs to
begin with,” said Davis. “They could use recovered funds to reinvest
into companies, creating expansion options that boost company profits
and stock prices. They can also be used reduce the need for potential
layoffs.”
For more information contact i5 Services at 1-800-560-2857.
# # #
Alan Davis is the President of i5 SERVICES. He has over 15 years
experience managing payables data and recovery for over 50 fortune 500
companies. While affiliated with the world’s largest recovery audit
firm he helped oversee the recovery of billions of dollars for clients,
including Wal-mart, British Airways, RiteAid, Acosta, PepBoys and many
more.
Thursday 28 May 2009 @ 4:08 am
April was another good month for investors. The ASX 200 rose by 5.5%, and is now more than 20% above its 6 March low. The US share market, as represented by the S&P500 index, rose by 9.4% in the month (its best month since early 2000). It is now 29% above its early-March low. The US share market has now risen in seven of the past eight weeks, including a run of six successive weekly rises in the market. Believe it or not, the last time that the US share market rose for six weeks in succession was way back in 1938.
My view has not changed: this is probably the start of a genuine recovery, but one can still not absolutely rule out that what we have seen is “just another bear-market rally”. But, as is always the case, investors who wait until they are absolutely sure that a recovery is genuine will miss a lot of upside.
The recovery is out there… somewhere
As I have written before, markets almost always recover before there is one skerrick of good news about the Australian or global economies. But in the last few months, the “green shoots” view has taken greater hold around the world. This view says that there are already a few early signs of life in the major global economies. Chinese growth prospects, for example, are no worse than they were two months ago, and the almost-universal purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) have come in stronger than expected. (If you don’t know what a PMI is, your life is not really the poorer for it.) In addition, an important measure of consumer confidence in the US rose hugely in April; it has risen by more just once in the past six years, and Japan has reported positive growth in industrial production. None of these data points prove that economic recovery is just around the corner, but they are consistent with the view that it’s out there somewhere. And, as I have said before, financial markets and economies will begin to recover long before all of the world’s financial problems are resolved.
Swines, SARS and September 11
There are, of course, still things to worry about. The latest possible market-mover is swine flu, and who would have predicted that a month ago? There is, of course, always a risk of a serious pandemic, but let me make one point. History suggests strongly that analysts (and markets) tend to over-estimate the negative economic effects of such events. SARS was a big concern in 2003, followed by avian flu in 2004. Both of these had only slight temporary economic and market effects. The same, incidentally, was true of hurricane Katrina, the aftermath of September 11 and the Kobe earthquake, to name just a few. The economic effects are almost always overestimated early on, and what that means is that such events usually present a buying opportunity.
Budget 2009: Swan’s ugly duckling?
Of course, since it’s May, it’s also time to begin the process of anticipating the federal Budget followed, of course, by seemingly endless analysis of it once it has been delivered. In my opinion, far too many trees die each year in this exercise.
That said, this year’s Budget will stand out from its predecessors. A year ago, the projected Budget surplus for 2009-10, which is now the first year of the Budget, stood at $3.6 billion. This year, it is likely that a deficit of more than $60 billion, the biggest in Australia’s history, will now be forecast for 2009-10. And the so-called “out years” of the Budget will also feature large deficits.
The deficit has “blown out” not only because of the fiscal packages, but also because of the effect of the weak economy on revenues and, to a lesser extent, on spending. This has led to handwringing by many who should know better about the evil consequences of all the debt that will be created as a result of the deficits.
In allowing the Budget to go into deficit in an attempt to mitigate the effects of the recession, the Government has done exactly the right thing. The Budget exists to serve the purposes of the economy, not the other way around. While it is true that we will finish up with public debt of $200 billion or higher (eventually)
, this will be a very small sum (and a very small percentage of GDP) by international standards. There will be no massive burden imposed on our children. Because public debt became a key political issue rather than an economic issue, Australia, to its cost, has been turned into a nation of (public) debt fetishists. We are not the better for it.
Bringing it all together
It is true that fiscal policy will have to be carefully managed in the economic recovery (and there will be a recovery, beginning almost certainly before the end of this year). The short-term deficit will have to be wound back, and that will take time. In addition, along with almost every other major economy, we will still have a medium-term fiscal problem, caused by the tectonic shifts in our demographic structure. These shifts mean that, as the years go by, a progressively smaller proportion of the overall population will be working, and “paying for” the pensions and publicly-funded health care of the more mature of us. What this means is that all new expenditure initiatives will have to be vetted closely, and it also probably means that taxes will eventually have to rise.
**Disclaimer and Disclosure
This publication has been prepared and issued by BT Financial Group Limited ACN 002916458 who provide investment products. While the information contained in this document has been prepared with all reasonable care no responsibility or liability is accepted for any errors or omissions or misstatement however caused. All forecasts and estimates are based on certain assumptions which may change. If those assumptions change, our forecasts and estimates may also change.
Chris Caton
BT Chief Economist
http://www.bt.com.au
Chris Caton is the Chief Economist for BT Financial Group. He was Chief Economist at Bankers Trust from 1991 until July 1999. From 1994 to 1997, he was also Chairman of the Indicative Planning Council, which advised the Government on matters relating to the housing industry.
# # #
About BT Financial Group:
BT Financial Group (BT) has been helping Australians create and manage wealth since 1969 and today is one of Australia’s strongest wealth managers with more than $95 billion in total investments. We are the wealth management arm of the Westpac Group.